2025 Holiday eCommerce & Packaging Trends: Your Guide to Creating a Sustainable Strategy
Posted By on Sep 7th 2025
2025 Holiday eCommerce & Packaging Trends: Your Guide to Creating a Sustainable Strategy
by Saloni Doshi & Jessica Dowding • published September 8, 2025 • 11 min read
So far, 2025 has been a balancing act for brands. Global tariffs are reshaping supply chains, extended producer responsibility (EPR) laws are taking effect in several U.S. states, and AI is changing how consumers discover and shop. Add in an uncertain economic and political climate, and it’s clear this holiday season will be high-stakes for retailers of all sizes.
The good news is that aligning with values remains a winning strategy. Shoppers continue to reward brands that deliver on quality, authenticity, and sustainability. This guide breaks down forecasts of what to expect this holiday season — plus actionable steps for using your packaging to boost sales, delight customers, and strengthen your brand.
Table of Contents
- Cost Concerns Continue—And Generations Are Shopping Differently
- Debt and BNPL Are on the Rise
- Online Shopping Is Surging
- Social Media Is Driving Discovery and Purchase
- Holiday Shopping Is Starting Earlier—But BFCM Still Rules
- Consumers Are Surrounded by Noise
- Sustainability and Value Alignment Still Matter
- Planning Inventory Strategically and Reducing Waste
- Holiday Packaging Strategy: Elevating Your Brand in 2025
- Your Holiday Packaging Strategy Matters
- Bonus: Holiday Packaging Strategy Checklist
Cost Concerns Continue—And Generations Are Shopping Differently
Inflation and tariffs are shaping holiday budgets, and the divide between generations has never been sharper. PwC forecasts that the average U.S. household will spend ~$1,500 this holiday season, but how — and where — those dollars are spent varies dramatically.
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Gen Z (18–24): Plan to spend less overall, but carving out room for self-gifting and discount-driven purchases. They’re also the quickest to abandon name brands for cheaper alternatives.
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Millennials: Plan to tighten spending slightly, but still balance affordability with quality.
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Boomers: Plan to spend more, often sticking with trusted brands.
Low-cost marketplaces like Temu and Shein remain options, but tariffs are pushing some spend back to Amazon and mid-market retailers. This creates an opportunity for brands prioritizing domestic production to attract tariff-conscious customers.
Free shipping has become a top purchase driver across all ages, with the majority of consumers willing to buy more to avoid paying for shipping.
How to Apply This Trend:
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Tailor promotions include self-gifting bundles for Gen Z and loyalty perks for Boomers.
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Set a maximum discount threshold based on margin and LTV so promotions don’t erode profitability.
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Use packaging to reinforce value beyond price — inserts or on-box messaging highlighting durability, domestic production, or sustainability.
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Consider bundled packaging strategies: e.g., sample-sized products tucked into festive tissue to make every purchase feel like a “deal + delight.”
Source: Unsplash
Debt and BNPL Are on the Rise
With costs up, consumers are stretching their dollars. More than 25% of shoppers plan to use Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) for holiday purchases. This is especially true for Gen Z and Millennials, who want to spread payments without relying on high-interest credit cards.
BNPL can also lower cart abandonment, which is a persistent challenge; nearly 70% of online carts are abandoned industry-wide.
How to Apply This Trend:
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Offer BNPL through Klarna, Affirm, Afterpay, Sezzle, PayPal, or Shop Pay.
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Promote BNPL early (PDPs, emails, and even packaging inserts), not just at checkout.
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Pair with a quality story: reinforce that flexible payments help customers invest in long-lasting, sustainable goods—not cheap throwaways.
Source: Unsplash
Online Shopping Is Surging
82% of consumers say they’ll shop online this season, compared to 48% who plan to shop primarily in physical stores. Many will blend channels — researching online, buying in-store, or vice versa—but they expect consistency and convenience across all touchpoints.
Mobile is especially critical: more than half of eCommerce traffic now comes from smartphones.
For brands selling in stores, a cohesive omnichannel presence is critical — bridging the gap between online and offline customers is more important than ever.
How to Apply This Trend:
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Audit your site on mobile for fast load times, intuitive navigation, and transparent returns.
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Keep branding seamless across website, packaging, and in-store.
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Use packaging as a “digital bridge” with additions like QR codes to loyalty programs, scan-to-shop inserts, or TikTok campaign links.
Source: Unsplash
Social Media Is Driving Discovery and Purchase
Social platforms are no longer just about discovery — they’re full-fledged shopping destinations. In 2024, 1 in 7 shoppers did at least half of their holiday shopping through TikTok, YouTube, or Instagram. TikTok Shop in particular is exploding in 2025, blurring the line between content and commerce.
How to Apply This Trend:
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Prioritize 1–2 platforms where your audience is most engaged—test shoppable ads there rather than spreading thin.
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Work with micro-influencers for more cost-effective, authentic reach.
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Ensure camera-ready packaging with unboxing designs and seasonal accents that look great in TikTok videos or Instagram reels.
Holiday Shopping Is Starting Earlier—But BFCM Still Rules
21% of shoppers had already started buying by July 1 — five points higher than last year. Early shopping helps consumers spread out costs, but 40% of all holiday spending will still fall between November 27 and December 1.
How to Apply This Trend:
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Plan for three waves of promotional content: early-bird offers, BFCM deals, and last-minute shipping cutoffs.
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Prepare fulfillment teams for a BFCM surge with extra staff, stock packaging reserves, and contingency plans.
Source: Unsplash
Consumers Are Surrounded by Noise
From AI-generated ads to influencer overload, shoppers face more clutter than ever. Authentic, human touches — like handwritten notes or thoughtful personalized content — are a decisive competitive advantage.
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57% of shoppers say timely alerts about items they’ve browsed are extremely helpful.
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Gen Z and Millennials increasingly trust creators and peers more than brand ads.
How to Apply This Trend:
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Personalize communications: restock alerts, cart reminders, or loyalty nudges.
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Partner with values-aligned micro-influencers for credibility.
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Add “offline personalization” through packaging: handwritten notes, QR codes that unlock unique content, or surprise samples that feel authentic in a way digital ads can’t.
Domestic Production Is Making a Comeback
With the de minimis loophole closed and new tariffs driving up import costs, more brands are reevaluating global supply chains. Marketplaces like Shein and Temu, once buoyed by duty-free shipments, are now losing ground as the U.S. cracks down on low-cost imports.
This shift is pushing companies to onshore manufacturing, which reduces tariff exposure, shortens lead times, and strengthens supply chain resilience. But reshoring isn’t always simple, particularly as manufacturers grapple with rising costs. Finding trusted, values-aligned partners is critical to ensuring quality, reliability, and shared sustainability goals.
How to Apply This Trend:
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Reassess sourcing: weigh tariff costs against the benefits of local production.
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Highlight “Made in USA” where accurate — it signals quality and supports domestic jobs.
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Choose domestic partners who share your sourcing, manufacturing, and sustainability values to build a consistent, credible brand story.
Source: EcoEnclose
Sustainability and Value Alignment Still Matter
One differentiator continues to cut through amid inflation, tariffs, and endless digital noise: sustainability. For many shoppers, especially Gen Z and Millennials, holiday purchases are about more than price — they’re about aligning with values.
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62% of consumers say they’re likely to choose products based on sustainability, and 65% say they’d pay more for them.
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But trust is shaky: 55% of consumers believe brands only sometimes share accurate information, while 26% remain outright skeptical. Shoppers can spot vague “eco-friendly” claims or holiday marketing gimmicks quicker.
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Regulations are adding pressure. With California’s SB 343 requiring recyclability labeling and state-level EPR laws rolling out, brands can’t afford to overstate or misrepresent their packaging choices.
This creates both a risk and an opportunity. Brands that resort to greenwashing (or stay silent to avoid scrutiny) risk losing consumer confidence. But brands that show proof — and weave sustainability authentically into both products and packaging — stand to build loyalty that lasts long past December.
How to Apply This Trend:
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Lead with proof, not platitudes. Back up claims with third-party certifications (FSC®, RCS, How2Recycle). Make these visible on your website and directly on your packaging.
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Make sustainability tangible. Print specific data like “Made with 100% post-consumer waste” or “Printed with Algae Ink™ to lower carbon emissions” right on your boxes or mailers.
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Connect values to the season. Use your holiday packaging as a storytelling platform. For example: “Holiday joy, delivered in 100% recycled packaging” or “Celebrate the season, not the waste.”
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Be transparent about trade-offs. For example, if you’ve chosen recycled poly mailers over heavier boxes to cut shipping emissions, say so. Customers value honesty more than perfection.
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Empower customers. Include clear disposal or reuse instructions inside the package (“Recycle curbside with paper” or “Reuse this mailer for returns”). This positions customers as partners in your sustainability mission.
Key Takeaway: In 2025, sustainability isn’t just a nice-to-have — it’s one of the most credible, differentiating ways to earn trust. Brands that showcase values through packaging (and back claims with proof) will resonate in a skeptical, crowded marketplace.
Understanding what today’s shoppers prioritize — affordability, convenience, authenticity, and value alignment — is only half the equation.
The other half is operational: ensuring you can meet demand without overspending or creating excess waste. Inventory planning, supply chain flexibility, and packaging choices all play a critical role in whether your brand thrives this holiday season.
Source: Unsplash
Planning Inventory Strategically and Reducing Waste
The holiday season can make or break a brand’s year — but only if the right products and packaging are available at the right time.
Order too little, and you risk stockouts that frustrate customers. Order too much, and you tie up cash flow, discount heavily, or generate excess waste.
In 2025, with tariffs, uncertainty, and volatile discount marketplaces, the brands that succeed will be the ones that plan smart, stay flexible, and align inventory decisions with their sustainability goals.
Here are three strategies to guide your inventory approach this holiday season.
1. Forecast Carefully & Build Flexibility
Use your past data — especially 2023 and 2024 holiday numbers — as a baseline, then adjust based on this year’s marketing push, new product launches, or planned promotions. Pair this with broader industry insights to get the clearest picture possible.
Work closely with your supply chain partners. Many vendors are eager to retain business and may be open to creative solutions that reduce your risk, such as:
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Extended payment terms to ease cash flow.
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Open purchase orders with flexible timelines.
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Substitution options (e.g., swapping one packaging SKU for another if stockouts occur).
2. Balance Advance and JIT Ordering
The sweet spot is avoiding both overstock and early sell-outs. Most brands find success blending advance orders with just-in-time (JIT) restocking.
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Advance Ordering: Larger upfront orders that lock in supply and avoid shipping delays.
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Pros: Predictable, faster fulfillment.
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Cons: Requires more cash and storage, risk of overstock.
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Just-in-Time (JIT): Smaller orders placed throughout the season.
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Pros: Less upfront investment, less risk of leftover stock.
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Cons: Risk of slower fulfillment or supply gaps.
To decide your mix, ask:
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Did we order too much or too little in 2023–24?
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How strong is our holiday marketing push this year?
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Can products or packaging roll into Q1 2026 if we overstock?
Consider keeping a reserve of semi-custom or pre-printed packaging with quicker lead times, so you can replenish if sales exceed forecasts.
3. Reduce Overproduction and Post-Holiday Waste
The holidays generate more consumer and business waste than any other season. Avoiding overproduction is critical for both your bottom line and your footprint.
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Use forecasting and flexible ordering to minimize leftovers.
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Prioritize packaging that can be used post-holidays (neutral branding or designs that aren’t time-bound).
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If you do end up with surplus, explore creative uses: clearance sales, bundling promos, or repurposing neutral packaging for the new year.
Many of our clients intentionally choose non-seasonal custom designs paired with holiday inserts or accents (like stickers or ribbons). This lets packaging serve the season while still working seamlessly after December.
Key Takeaway: This year’s uncertainties make it tempting to overcorrect—but progress lies in balance. By combining careful forecasting, flexible ordering strategies, and sustainable packaging choices, you can deliver reliably through the peak season without leaving excess cash or material waste on the table.
Once you’ve ensured supply and operational readiness, your packaging strategy is the lever that turns those efforts into customer delight and loyalty.
Source: Econclose
Holiday Packaging Strategy: Elevating Your Brand in 2025
Your packaging is more than a delivery tool. In 2025, when consumers are cost-conscious, ad-fatigued, and skeptical of greenwashing, packaging is one of the most credible, human ways to reinforce your brand’s values.
When done thoughtfully, it builds recognition, makes unboxing feel personal, and serves as tangible proof of authenticity.
Here are three best practices to guide your holiday packaging strategy this year:
1. Choose the Right Amount of Customization
Best Practice: Use packaging design to stand out while staying true to your brand identity. Even small accents — custom tape, branded stickers, or festive inserts — can transform a plain shipment into a memorable experience.
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Custom Branding for Recognition: Custom-printed boxes, mailers, and tissue help your package break through the sea of plain cartons. Seasonal designs tied to your brand palette keep things festive without losing recognition.
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Pre-Printed Seasonal Flair: For brands with shorter timelines or tighter budgets, pre-printed holiday packaging adds cheer without committing to a custom run. EcoEnclose’s holiday collection of boxes, tissue, and notecards gives you quick-turn, affordable options.
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Stock Packaging with Festive Accents: 100% recycled stock boxes and mailers can shine when paired with reusable ribbons, printed stickers, or branded notecards. Our extensive stock packaging options offer neutral designs that can easily be dressed up for the season.
Why It Matters: Whether you go fully custom or keep it simple, intentional design choices reinforce recognition and authenticity — qualities customers crave in a season dominated by mass-market packaging.
2. Create an Intentional Unboxing Experience
Best Practice: Make unboxing an extension of your brand values. A gift-ready, personal presentation can delight the giver, wow the receiver, and create a moment worth sharing — without generating excess waste.
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Simplify Opening: Frustration-free design, like tear strips or minimal tape use, keeps customers happy.
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Layer with Purpose: Build anticipation with tissue, SpiroPak, or notecards that add interest without excess.
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Add Personal Touches: Handwritten notes, seasonal messages, or QR codes linking to holiday playlists or campaigns make the experience unique.
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Eliminate Plastic Thoughtfully: If your brand aims to reduce or eliminate plastic, consider vetted alternatives, such as swapping conventional poly bags with Vela™ Glassine Bags.
Why It Matters: Discounts may attract shoppers, but a thoughtful, sustainable unboxing can turn a one-time order into an opportunity for brand loyalty and word-of-mouth marketing.
3. Prioritize Sustainable Materials and Circular Design
Best Practice: Align packaging choices with both consumer expectations and emerging regulations. With shoppers wary of vague claims, specificity and proof are essential.
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Maximize Recycled Content: To strengthen recycling markets, choose mailers, boxes, and tissue with high post-consumer waste.
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Design for Recyclability: Prioritize easily recyclable packaging through curbside or collection programs, and match labels/stickers to substrates to avoid contamination. Ensure your labeling accurately tells customers how to recycle packaging after use.
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Evaluate Opportunities for Reuse: Extending the usable life of packaging reduces its footprint. For example, including a reseal strip on mailers allows customers to reuse them for another shipment.
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Explore Next-Gen Options: Stay ahead by adopting innovations like seaweed-based packaging, Algae Ink™, or pouches made with post-consumer content.
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Right-Size Everything: Use custom dimensions and downgauged materials to reduce waste and shipping emissions.
Why It Matters: Packaging is often the first — and most tangible — proof point of your sustainability story. Your values become real when customers see and touch recycled content, circular design, and transparent labeling.
Source:
Your Holiday Packaging Strategy Matters
In 2025, authenticity is the differentiator.
Holiday packaging that blends thoughtful design, memorable unboxing, and credible sustainability is one of the most powerful ways to cut through seasonal noise.
Whether through a seasonal insert or a branded holiday mailer, your packaging can deliver joy, trust, and loyalty — all in one moment.
At EcoEnclose, we’ve helped hundreds of brands design packaging strategies that balance cost, efficiency, and sustainability. Explore our holiday collection, order a sample kit, or contact us for tailored recommendations.
Email us at sales@ecoenclose.com or contact your account manager to get started.
Bonus: Holiday Packaging Strategy Checklist
Before the holiday rush hits, ask yourself:
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Customization: Does our packaging stand out while staying true to our brand palette and identity?
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Seasonal Readiness: Do we have a plan for festive touches (custom prints, pre-printed designs, or accents like stickers/ribbons)?
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Unboxing Experience: Will customers be delighted opening our package? Is it easy, frustration-free, and gift-ready?
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Personal Touches: Are we using notes, QR codes, or inserts to make the experience feel authentic and human?
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Sustainability Proof: Do our boxes, mailers, and tissue clearly communicate recycled content, recyclability, or eco-innovation (like Algae Ink™ or Vela™ bags)?
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Versatility: Could our packaging work beyond December, or do we risk being stuck with unusable holiday overstock?
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Regulatory Alignment: Are our sustainability claims backed by certifications (FSC®, RCS, How2Recycle) and compliant with new state laws like SB 343?
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Backup Plan: Do we have quick-ship or stock packaging options on hand in case demand exceeds forecasts?
If you answered “no” to more than two of these, now’s the time to refresh your holiday packaging strategy. EcoEnclose can help you evaluate options, sample materials, and build a plan that balances cost, creativity, and sustainability. Email us at sales@ecoenclose.com or contact your account manager to get started.
About EcoEnclose
EcoEnclose helps forward-thinking brands deliver on their sustainability goals with innovative, research-driven packaging solutions designed for circularity.